Analysis put out by Karnataka Covid war room chief Munish Moudgil has surprising finding that infection rate among children vis-à-vis adults is less than at peak of 2nd wave
An analysis of the infection rate among children (0-18 years) as compared to adults in the 2nd and 3rd Covid-19 waves throws up the significant finding that there does not appear to be an increased infection rate among this paediatric group in the ongoing 3rd wave as compared to the earlier 2nd wave. This is despite the fact that children in this age group have not hitherto been vaccinated (except for the start of the vaccination programme for the 15-18 age group from January 3, 2022).
According to an analysis put out by Karnataka Covid war room head Munish Moudgil, on the contrary the numbers reveal that the infection rate among children (0-18 years) vis-a-vis adults has come down during the 3rd wave as compared to the 2nd wave.
Thus, a reasonable inference that can be drawn is that the 3rd wave is affecting adults more than children when compared to the 2nd wave.
Still grim overall
However, in overall terms, the 3rd wave is already doubling every 3 days as compared to 7-8 days during the peak of the 2nd wave last year.
According to the Covid war room analysis put out by Moudgil, it is clear that the 3rd wave will peak at a far higher number of cases overall than the the 2nd wave – the saving grace so far being that the percentage of patients needing hospitalization this time is around 5 times less than in the 2nd wave.
Precaution is best
However, since the case doubling rate is about 3 times faster than in the 2nd wave, the common-sense conclusion is that people should continue to exercise a great deal of precautions and should get double-vaccinated at the earliest, while those who are eligible should come forward and take the precautionary (‘booster’) dose as well.