We conducted an online opinion Poll for the Belagavi Loksabha Constituency and here are the results –
Overall, the poll reflects a dissatisfaction with the incumbent MP’s performance and a desire for change, particularly regarding infrastructure development, employment, and healthcare services. Voters also prefer new candidates over established ones, indicating a desire for fresh leadership and ideas.
Demographics:
Majority of respondents are registered voters (99%), predominantly male (92.5%) and fall within the age group of 31-40 years (34.9%).
Satisfaction with MP:
Overall, there is considerable dissatisfaction with the work of MP Smt. Mangal Suresh Angadi, with 37.3% fully dissatisfied and only 9.3% fully satisfied.
Opinion on Re-election:
A significant majority (70.6%) believe their sitting MP should not be given another chance.
Similarly, 78.9% do not think the sitting MP’s family should be given a chance.
Assessment of Changes:
Respondents perceive improvements in infrastructure (534), construction of RoBs (477), and health facilities (438) over the past 5 years. However, there is also a significant perception of deterioration in certain areas, such as lack of air connectivity (24.5%) and focus on agri-tech industries (38.3%).
Factors influencing voting decision:
Most respondents assess political candidates based on researching various channels (52.3%), followed by news on TV/social media (37%) and articles in newspapers (31.2%).
Major Issues:
Lack of employment (44.8%) and absence of major industries (67.5%) are the most pressing concerns in the constituency, followed by issues related to affordable health services, infrastructure improvements, and agricultural technology industries.
Voting Preferences:
A majority (77.5%) prefer to vote for a fresh new face as their MP.
When voting for a candidate, respondents prioritize the candidate’s profile (50.9%) over the political party (40%) or family background (1.2%).
Opinions were gathered from 14-02-2024 to 25/02/2024
Some important Disclaimers:
Sample size –
Most surveys in India end up interviewing less than 0.05% of voters. Our sample size was 1545 in total which is more than the sample size 915(approx).
Only Registered Voters –
Only those whose opinions were registered were voters. There were % of the people who took this opinion poll but did not opine as they were not registered, Voters
Internet savvy people bias –
As this was an Internet-based poll, only those persons who were Internet savvy voted hence this is a big limitation.
Margin of Error – As the responses were not gathered in person like other opinion polls, there can be a margin of error.
But one has to understand that we aren’t predicting seats, we are just trying to get a sense of the voters and their alignment with a political party and what is there in their mind.
And here are the opinions that were submitted by various readers –
Are you a Registered Voter
Yes: 99%
No: 1%
Gender:
Male: 92.5%
Female: 7.5%
Transgender: 0
Age
18-22 Years – 4.9%
23-25 Years – 7.7%
26-30 years – 19.7%
31-40 years – 34.9%
41-50 years – 18.3%
51- 60 years – 11.8%
61- 70 years – 2.6%
Above 70 years – 0.1
Are you satisfied with the work of MP Smt. Mangal Suresh Angadi in your constituency for past five years – satisfied or dissatisfied?
Fully satisfied – 9.3%
Somewhat satisfied – 25.2%
Somewhat dissatisfied – 17.4%
Fully dissatisfied – 37.3%
Can’t say – 10.8%
Do you think that your sitting MP should be given another chance?
Yes – 18.1%
No – 70.6%
Cant say – 11.3%
Do you think your sitting MP’s Family should be given a chance?
Yes – 13%
No – 78.9%
Cant say – 8.1%
In the past 5 years, Do you think the following have improved, deteriorated or remained the same?
| Improved | Remained same | Deteriorated | Dont Know | |
| Condition of roads | 681 | 624 | 222 | 18 |
| Health facilities | 438 | 870 | 180 | 57 |
| Drinking Water supply | 384 | 777 | 258 | 126 |
| Construction of RoB’s | 477 | 726 | 312 | 30 |
| Infrastructure | 534 | 738 | 252 | 21 |
On what basis do you assess a political candidate?
News on TV/Social Media – 37.%
Articles in the newspapers – 31.2%
Attend events where the candidate is addressing the people – 20.9%
I research all the channels before making my choice- 52.3%
The family of the candidate – 7.3%
(Top 5 Voted displayed )
Major Issues of the Constituency
(Top Voted displayed )
Lack of Employment- 44.8%
Step motherly treatment from Govt – 40.2%
Improvement of affordable health services… – 43%
Infrastructure improvements like Rail,Bus – 50.9%
No major big Industries is a major hurdle for development -67.5%
Lack of Air Connectivity – 24.5%
Lack of Focus on Agri Tech industries – 38.3%
Lack of New age techno parks – 64.1%
You will Vote for a Candidate because of
Political Party he/she Belongs to – 40%
Family he/she belongs to – 1.2
Candiadtes Profile – 50.9%
Other – 7.9%
Would you prefer to Vote for a FRESH new FACE as your MP?
Yes – 77.5%
No – 6.1%
Maybe – 16.4%